The Tasmanian industries hardest hit by the coronavirus crisis also appear to be leading the state's tentative jobs rebound.
Australian Bureau of Statistics estimates released on Tuesday based on payroll data suggested Tasmanian employment had been increasing in the two weeks to May 2, stemming a massive run of job losses.
Economist Saul Eslake said the ABS figures suggested about 20,500 Tasmanians lost their jobs between March 14 and April 18, but about 2000 returned to work in the following two weeks.
That left the state down by about 18,500 jobs since March 14.
"Today's were reasonably heartening figures after the deluge of bad news last week, especially from a Tasmanian perspective," Mr Eslake said on Tuesday.
"Looking at individual industries in Tasmania, there's been a strong rebound in payroll employment in the accommodation and food services sector."
He said its employment had increased by 9.5 per cent in the two weeks to May 2, after falling by 32.6 per cent between the week ending on March 14 and the week ending on April 18.
" ... that still leaves employment down by a net 26.2 per cent since March 14, more than any other sector," he said.
"Payroll jobs in arts and recreation have also rebounded 4.2 per cent over the past two weeks, after falling 24.6 per cent over the previous five weeks ..."
He said other sectors where employment appeared to have begun to recover included:
- information, media and telecommunications services (up 7.4 per cent in the past three weeks after a 9.2 per cent decline);
- retail (up 4.1 per cent after an 8.9 per cent decline);
- transport, postal and warehousing (up 4.2 per cent after a 6.2 per cent decline);
- finance and insurance (up 2.4 per cent after a 5.2 per cent decline); and
- healthcare and social assistance (up 3.2 per cent after a "surprising" 5.4 per cent decline).
Mr Eslake said employment in electricity, gas, water and waste services was now actually 1.4 per cent higher than it was in mid-March.
He said employment continued to decline in manufacturing, which was now down by 10.2 per cent since the week ending on March 14, wholesale trade (down 5.4 per cent) and professional, scientific and technical services (down 6.5 per cent).
He said employment had only increased in the last two weeks for which data was available in Tasmania, Queensland and the Northern Territory.
Meanwhile, analysis from Deloitte said national economic recovery was expected to start late this year and accelerate in 2021 as travel bans were slowly lifted.
"As economic growth rebounds, employment levels should slowly recover," it said.
It said the ABS' April labour force report suggested the nation lost about 600,000 jobs from March to April.
It said more recent payroll data for the period until May 2 showed a loss of about 950,000 jobs.