We'll have to wait, but this is how our next parliament is shaping up

And only then, when our Hare-Clark voting system has had its fun, may it be decided too who will be able to form government.

On the count to date, the Liberals will have the most seats with at least 13 and possibly up to 15, while Labor will win 10 and is a chance for up to two more. The Libs would seem to have a slightly better chance of winning an extra one or two than Labor, but only time will tell.

The Greens are the big winners this election, with a minimum of four seats and they remain in the race to win one or two more, and potentially - though not likely - even a third. The Jacqui Lambie Network looks set to win two and maybe a third seat, while independents will take one and perhaps as many as four.

PROBABLE WINS: Liberals 13, Labor 10, Greens 4, JLN 2, independent 1.

TOO CLOSE TO CALL: 5.

BRADDON

The five sitting members - Liberals Jeremy Rockliff, Roger Jaensch and Felix Ellis, and Labor's Anita Dow and Shane Broad - should all be re-elected. Mr Rockliff certainly will be, with a poll-topping 18,855 votes.

The JLN will win a seat, though their three candidates all polled well and it is unclear which will emerge triumphant at this stage. Miriam Beswick with 2862 votes is the frontrunner, leading James Redgrave on 2688.

The last seat will come down to a battle between a Liberal candidate (the favourite there being Giovanna Simpson), independent Craig Garland and the Greens' Darren Briggs. The Liberals have their noses in front with that 0.66 of a quota for their fourth seat, compared to the Greens' 0.5 and Mr Garland's 0.41 quotas respectively.

When all votes are in and counted, Jeremy Rockliff's surplus will be distributed, and then the lowest vote-getting candidates will be excluded in turn with the preference flow being critical.

BASS

The Liberals will win three, Labor two and the Greens one, while the last will most likely fall to the JLN.

Deputy Premier Michael Ferguson is the only candidate to have secured more than a quota, with a healthy 11,116 votes guaranteeing his re-election. Newcomer Rob Fairs will enter parliament as the second of the Liberals with 5255 votes, while it is not yet clear who else from their ticket will join them. Sitting member Simon Wood is currently third with 1753 votes.

For Labor, Michelle O'Bryne has again polled well enough to guarantee a set, with 7298 votes, while Janie Finlay will also be re-elected with 6824 votes. The next closest Labor candidate is former federal member Geoff Lyons, with 1559 votes, though the party's overall quota of 2.4 means it would be a stretch to challenge for the last seat.

The Greens' lead candidate, Cecily Rosol, will win a seat with a primary vote of 3916 given the party's overall quota of 0.95 is enough to guarantee that seat.

For the JLN, Rebekah Pentland leads their ticket, which has secured 0.65 of a quota at this stage.

LYONS

There is a similar story playing out here, with the Liberals again set to win three seats, Labor two, the Greens one, and the last depending on preferences.

For Labor first, leader Rebecca White secured her seat with 13,624 votes - more than a quota and a half. Sitting member Jen Butler is leading the rest of the ticket with 2045 votes, but could be pipped by a colleague.

Guy Barnett has done the best for the Liberals, and will be re-elected alongside Mark Shelton. Jane Howlett's attempt to move to the lower house will be successful.

The Greens' Tabatha Badger, meanwhile, will win a seat, with the party securing more than 10 per of the vote, or 0.83 quotas.

The JLN is currently ahead in the race for that last seat, with 0.67 quotas, but Labor's total of 2.64 means it will not be far behind.

FRANKLIN

Greens' leader Rosalie Woodruff has polled the best of all candidates here, and will hold her seat comfortably. The Liberals and Labor will both win two seats each. After that, it is not certain but perhaps will not end up as close as elsewhere.

For the Liberals, former conservative senator Eric Abetz has won a seat, while Jacqui Petrusma will also be making a return to state parliament. The party has 2.73 quotas, which gives it a strong prospect of winning a third seat.

Labor's vote of 2.2 quotas means it will win two seats and no more, but its excess votes could make a difference later. Dean Winter heads the party's ticket with 7500 votes, and Meg Brown is the next best-placed Labor candidate with 3319 votes.

The Greens' 1.55 quotas will get Ms Woodruff elected, and then gives them an outside chance of a second seat.

Former Labor MP turned independent David O'Byrne has 5941 votes, or 0.72 of a quota, which means you would almost say he will be elected, but not quite. If he does, it will then likely be the Liberals and the Greens competing for the seventh seat.

CLARK

In Hobart, things get messy. Labor and the Liberals will win two seats each, the Greens one, and independent Kristie Johnston will probably be returned.

For the Libs, Simon Behrakis (4612) is outpolling minister Madeleine Ogilvie (4055), and both will hold their seats.

Labor's Josh Willie will, like Ms Howlett, make a successful move from the upper house, with his vote of 5303 placing him second to sitting member Ella Haddad (6108).

Vica Bayley will be elected in his own right for the Greens, while the party's vote of 1.61 quotas gives it a strong shot at a second seat.

Ms Johnston's vote of 4444 leaves her with 0.63 of a quota, but given what other contenders have, it should be enough with preferences to get her over the line.

Other than the Greens, Labor has a chance at picking up that third seat with its 2.49 quotas, while former MP Sue Hickey could be an outside possibility from her base of 2818 votes.