Labor likely to lose 3: poll

Exclusive ReachTEL polling for ?ifThe Sunday Examiner  shows Mr Rudd is ahead of Opposition Leader Tony Abbott 51.2 to 48.8 per cent (Braddon), 50.7 to 49.3 (Lyons) and 50.6 to 49.4 (Bass) but much closer than the margin interstate.

Despite his apparent popularity, Mr Rudd is struggling to turn his rating into victories in vital Tasmania seats.

With Denison tipped to be retained by controversial independent Andrew Wilkie and Franklin too close to call, Labor could lose all four of its Tasmanian seats in an electoral disaster.

Respected pollsters ReachTEL surveyed more than 1800 voters across Bass, Lyons and Braddon last Thursday night following Mr Rudd's cash splash distribution of $100 million of forestry compensation funding.

Although Mr Rudd has given Tasmania's Labor incumbents a surge in the polls, after a month in the job they are are still comfortably behind on the eve of an election.

The Greens were heavy losers in Bass (13.4 down to 9.4) and Lyons (13 per cent down to 10.2) but held steady in Braddon at relative low of 7.4 per cent.

The collapse in the Greens vote and continued poor polling from Labor should also see the Liberals pick up a third Senate seat and leave Lin Thorpe (Labor) and the Greens Peter Whish-Wilson fighting for survival.

 Is Tasmania headed for another hung Parliament in 2014? Exclusive poll results in The Examiner  on Monday.

 ABOUT THE POLLSTER

 ReachTEL is a Queensland-based company that uses automated voice broadcast technology to collect poll results.

The samples for this poll were done on Thursday evening, which coincided with Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's visit to Launceston.

By industry standards the pollings samples were relatively large - Bass 626; Braddon 617; and Lyons 659 people.

ReachTEL uses Australian Bureau of Statistics data to ensure that results are a true representation of the age and gender profile of each electorate.