A parliamentary inquiry into rural health has heard at least 40 general practitioners would need to be trained in Tasmania each year and stay in the state to meet current GP demand.
The Australian Medical Association told a Legislative Council committee on Thursday that Tasmania needed at least another 100 GPs working around the state.
General Practice Training Tasmania chief executive Judy Dew on Friday said 75 per cent of GPs trained in Tasmania stayed in the state to practice afterwards.
She said to meet the state's demand for general practitioners, between 40 to 45 needed to be trained each year and all needed to remain in Tasmania.
However, Ms Dew said there was a lack of certainty around training and retention of trained GPs in Tasmania beyond 2022.
She said this was due to planned federal government changes to the training system to take effect in 2023 that could affect the number of GPs trained within the state.
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From then, the Australian College of Rural and Remote Medicine is to assume responsibility over the general practitioner training program.
Ms Dew said the transition to a college-led training model needed to be delayed until 2025 so all training providers had adequate time to assess its implications.
She said there was a risk that applicant numbers in Tasmania next year and in subsequent years would be very low due to uncertainty from participants over the training program they were entering into.
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"Under these new latest proposals, there is also the risk that any funding for Tasmania will be shared amongst other organisations and not necessarily controlled within the state," Ms Dew said.
"Splitting the various aspects across multiple providers is also likely to lead to inefficiencies of delivery and perhaps not the best training outcomes."
She said since it was a three-year program, GP numbers in the state could be impacted for the next six years or longer.
The Legislative Council committee will resume hearings for the inquiry on October 19.
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