The latest EMRS poll has shown a significant leap in support for the Liberal Party since December.
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Decided voters returned a 46 per cent approval rating for the party, a shift of 12 per cent from three months ago when the government was neck-and-neck with the Opposition.
The latest poll saw no change for Labor with support still at 34 per cent.
The poll was taken over last week in and included 1000 respondents.
EMRS chief operations director Samuel Paske said the Opposition’s vote had stalled over four consecutive polls while the Greens have fallen to the party’s lowest level of support in eight years to 12 per cent.
When taking into account undecided voters, the support levels were 43 per cent to Liberal, 32 per cent to Labor and 11 per cent to the Greens. Support for the Jacqui Lambie Party was at four per cent.
Personal support for Premier Will Hodgman has risen to 48 per cent, up 13 percentage points, while support for Rebecca White as preferred leader has dropped to 41 per cent, down seven percentage points.
Political analyst Kevin Bonham warned that EMRS polling tended to work against Labor and the Greens but only by a margin of a few points.
He predicted the Liberals would win 13 seats, Labor 10 and the Greens 2.
Fellow political analyst Richard Herr predicted the same figures, believing Greens Bass MHA Andrea Dawkins would lose her seat and Labor would pick up seats in Braddon and Franklin.
“And there is still an outside chance that Labor could win a third seat in Denison,” he said.
Premier Will Hodgman said the only poll that mattered was the one being held on Saturday. He said the poll, which saw the Liberals lose two seats, demonstrated there was a prospect of a hung parliament result
Deputy Labor Leader Michelle O’Byrne was not stirred by the poll results, comparing its small sample size to the 175,000 direct voter contacts on the campaign trail; many of which showed support for the party.
Greens leader Cassy O’Connor said the poll results reflected the big money being spent on the Liberal’s campaign.