Liberals a chance for four seats in Braddon

THE Liberals could win four seats in Braddon if the flow of preferences go their way. 

The Braddon Liberal team is closer to four seats than Labor is to 2 or the Greens are in keeping their sole seat.

If the Liberals won four it would be Adam Brooks, Jeremy Rockliff, Roger Jaensch and Joan Rylah.

Labor MHA Brenton Best is struggling to survive and the Greens MHA Paul O'Halloran is on less than half a quota with no fertile ground to harvest preferences from.

Four seats would hand the Liberals 15 seats in the 25-seat Parliament, Labor most likely 7 and the Greens 3.

In Bass the make up is Peter Gutwein and Michael Ferguson. Sarah Courtney is ahead of Dorest mayor Barry Jarvis by just 431 votes for the third Liberal seat.

In Lyons, veteran Liberal MHA Rene Hidding topped the poll followed by colleague Mark Shelton. Former senator Guy Barnett will win the third Liberal seat.

Greens deputy leader Tim Morris MHA is struggling to hang on, and may have to fight it out for the 5th seat against veteran Labor icon David Llewellyn, 70, who is trying to make a come-back.

Labor's Bec White MHA will hold her seat and looms as a future leader for the party, perhaps sooner than she may have contemplated.

Premier Lara Giddings' successor David O'Byrne appears to have lost his seat. If, as they say, the buck stops at her door, Ms Giddings will come under internal party pressure to quit politics so that Mr O'Byrne could re-enter Parliament on a recount of her preferences to fill the vacancy.

The Electoral Commission will count pre-poll, postal and absentee votes over the next 10 days and then distribute preferences which should only take a day or more. These votes always tend to benefit the Liberal Party.

Premier-elect Will Hodgman will then announce his cabinet, and a timetable for the next Budget day and opening of the new Parliament.

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