Adam Brooks may be right that there is a campaign against him, but it doesn't necessarily follow that it's based on falsehoods.
The Braddon Liberal candidate has doubled down on his denials in the face of further claims that he used an assumed identity in relationships with women.
Mr Brooks has declared he will be "pursuing legal recourse against suggestions that I have acted against the law", as is his right, and yet that may not be enough.
In a legal sense, he is absolutely entitled to be presumed innocent until proven guilty, and this particularly applies to accusations that he may have broken the law. But the court of public opinion doesn't apply this standard quite so well.
Assuming he is elected, Mr Brooks will come under enormous pressure. Indeed, he clearly already is, and independent Senator Jacqui Lambie was right to express concern about his wellbeing.
Another who will come under pressure is Premier Peter Gutwein, who has done some doubling down of his own, committing again and again to resigning should the Liberals no longer have a majority.
That has largely rested on the question of whether his party can win a second seat in the Hobart electorate of Clark, which it should, but we won't know for sure until the preferences are distributed next week.
The Liberals will be hoping for the best there, and they will also be hoping that incumbent minister Roger Jaensch and backbencher Felix Ellis are somehow able to overcome Mr Brooks in Braddon.
What if, however, Mr Gutwein only gets his first wish granted and not the second?
If the premier has his majority but it includes the embattled Mr Brooks, would sacking him from the party - for which there will be growing calls - then demand his own resignation as leader? Or if Mr Brooks chooses to resign as a Liberal and sit as an independent, would the same result follow?
The possibilities of how this matter could all play out add to the argument that Mr Gutwein should not have been so over the top with his promise to resign rather than govern in minority. It was a dumb call and he may come to regret it.