Tasmania's front-running Liberals are said to have copied their first post-election priority in government directly from the playbook of Queensland LNP Premier Campbell Newman.
Liberal leader Will Hodgman is closing on majority government at Saturday's election after 16 years in opposition, as the electorate turns away from Labor.
Polling by EMRS and ReachTEL over the past two months consistently showed a likely Liberal majority in the 25-seat House of Assembly. The latest Newspoll result, released on Thursday, had the Liberals on 53 per cent statewide.
But the copycat policy is emerging as a test of Mr Hodgman's credentials after the campaign was marked by sustained attacks from Labor and the Greens over his ability to stand up for the state.
Mr Hodgman's First 100 Days Implementation Plan copies Mr Newman's First 100 Days Action Plan in form - and in its most crucial commitment.
Labor Premier Lara Giddings said the decision to duplicate Mr Newman's policy showed up the flaws in the Liberal campaign.
''Will Hodgman is copying Campbell Newman with his unemployment policy, when Mr Newman has actually driven the rate up,'' Ms Giddings said.
Queensland's unemployment rate rose in February to 6.1 per cent in trend terms, according to ABS figures released on Thursday. With unemployment running at 7.4 per cent, Tasmania remains the worst-affected state in the country.
Despite heavy campaigning on unemployment, observers say the election is set to return the Liberals to power on Saturday largely because of a desire for change after a long period of Labor government.
Political analyst Richard Herr said it appeared to be a transitional election. ''Electors feel there's going to be change, but they aren't excited by that,'' he said.
The most likely outcome was a narrow majority for the Liberals, perhaps 13 of the 25 seats in the state House of Assembly, Professor Herr said.
Labor faced a potential demolition, with Greens likely to hold four seats, and the Palmer United Party an outside chance of a single seat win. Both major parties have rejected going into a minority government with the Greens, or the PUP, whose leader, Kevin Morgan, claimed he been approached by people linked to the Liberals exploring whether he would work with them.
Will Hodgman, 44, is the son of Liberal veteran Michael Hodgman, who died last year.
The younger Hodgman has led the opposition for eight years, after rejecting a chance at minority government in 2010 when the major parties finished with 10 seats each and the Greens five.
The campaign's final week was marked by threats of prosecution after the Palmer United Party, and the Liberals, appeared to breach Tasmanian electoral law.
The law prohibits the use in a political advertisement of another candidate's name or image without their permission.Two breaches by the PUP have been referred to the Tasmanian Electoral Commission, and the Liberals admitted one case themselves.
Electoral commissioner Julian Type said he would investigate the reported breaches.