THE Liberal Party is on track to pull off the near-impossible feat of winning four seats in the crucial electorate of Lyons at next year's state election, exclusive polling reveals.
ReachTEL polling commissioned by The Examiner , shows the Liberal vote in Tasmania's three Northern electorates of Bass, Braddon and Lyons is strong enough to guarantee them three seats in each and a chance at claiming four.
The Liberals' vote was strongest in Lyons at 58.3 per cent, where the Greens' vote was lowest on 9.6 per cent.
In Bass, the Liberals were the preferred choice for 55.2 per cent and 56.8 per cent in Braddon.
Based on those numbers, Tasmanian polling analyst Kevin Bonham predicted a Liberal landslide victory.
``The Liberals will easily win three in all those seats and they would have chances of getting four in Lyons, maybe even in Braddon,'' he said.
Dr Bonham said picking up four seats would still be a difficult task for the Liberals and depended on the calibre of the candidates chosen.
Labor's position has improved from a poll taken six weeks ago.
Labor holds two seats in each of Bass, Braddon and Lyons, but even with the slight rise the party's representation looks set to be halved in March.
That would likely cost Bass MHA Brian Wightman his spot and would force Deputy Premier Bryan Green to fight it out with backbencher Brenton Best for the sole Labor seat in Braddon.
In Lyons, Labor MHA Rebecca White will have to fend off David Llewellyn, who is out to make a comeback.
The Greens vote is enough to get Kim Booth over the line in Bass, elect Tim Morris in Lyons and even save Paul O'Halloran in Braddon.
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