PUP preferences may be decisive factor

ALTHOUGH the Palmer United Party will not pick up a seat in the state election, where the preferences from PUP voters flow will make the party kingmakers in determining the undecided seats.

ALP state secretary John Dowling said that based on a small sample of Bass votes, 20per cent of Liberal votes were flowing on to Labor, giving Labor minister Brian Wightman some hope of getting over the line.

"Whilst Brian Wightman is a long way behind, it's early days and it ain't over till it's over," Mr Dowling said.

"There's apparent leakage from the Liberal Party to the ALP, which is giving us some hope."

The Liberals have now reached three quotas in Franklin, making it almost certain that Labor minister David O'Byrne will not be returned to Parliament and will be replaced by former Huon MLC Paul Harriss.

With 5 per cent more votes counted in Lyons yesterday, the gap tightened between Greens MHA Tim Morris and Labor candidate David Llewellyn, with just 150 votes between them.

It is unlikely that Mr Morris would benefit from PUP preferences, with the party receiving more than 3000 votes in the electorate so far.

Incumbent Rebecca White boosted her first preference vote by almost 600 last night, and Mr Dowling said he was "extremely confident" of winning a second seat in Lyons.

The Tasmanian Electoral Commission won't start looking at preferences until next week, meaning candidates in the contentious seats of Bass and Braddon were no closer to knowing results at last count yesterday.

Braddon Liberal incumbents Adam Brooks and Jeremy Rockliff have reached almost 31,000 votes between them, and there are more than 4000 PUP votes to flow.

Electoral Commissioner Julian Type said scrutineers from all parties were eligible to be present at rechecks throughout the week.

Meanwhile, incoming premier Will Hodgman has hit well over 23,000 votes, and with 8000 left to be counted he is a strong contender to break the record for highest individual vote.

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