COMMENT: Welcome to The Examiner's election blog. We'll be updating you on what politicians are doing in your patch, chewing over the politics of the day and sharing stories from the campaign trail.
AS the old saying goes, if you want to find truth in politics, follow the money.
I'm not talking about brown paper bags or huge advertising buys - but instead where punters put their hard earned cash predicting the election outcome.
While punting can be a mug's game, (it certainly is whenever I'm involved,) it's increasingly the case that bookies get it right more often than pollsters or the commentariat.
It's a free market response to election predicting that can be more trustworthy than often flawed or push polling.
The Australian Financial Review reported that at the 2010 election, ``betting odds have consistently been more accurate with the three betting market favourites predicting more than 90 per cent of the victories''.
One bookmaker claimed to predict 149 of the 150 seats correctly through market favouritism at the last Federal election, with the sole outlier being Denison.
Independent Andrew Wilkie was that blemish - paying around the $23 for success - with Mr Wilkie recalling being congratulated on his win by a speculative gambler who took the odds and banked a grand as a result.
So what are Tom Waterhouse's mob predicting for tomorrow's election?
For a start, the Coalition will easily win this election with odds of around $1.03 on offer _ that's a return of just 3 cents on top of every dollar invested _ a shorter price than Black Caviar was able to offer on many of her famous wins.
In Tasmania, the bookies say Labor will be left with just one in the House of Representatives.
That's Housing Minister Julie Collins in Franklin, paying $1.53 to be returned against the $2.40 offered on Liberal candidate Bernie Black.
In Lyons, Liberal candidate Eric Hutchinson is favoured to win at $1.57 against long-term MHR Dick Adams at $2.40.
In Bass and Braddon the Liberal candidates are in similar territory to the sun coming up tomorrow morning, with $1.01 offered for a conservative victory in Bass and $1.03 in Braddon.
If you like an underdog, get on Geoff Lyons at $10 and Sid Sidebottom at $9.
But you'll receive a considerably smaller return on Mr Wilkie at this election - he's shortened to $1.03 - against Labor's Jane Austin at $15 and the $26 on offer for the Liberals' Tanya Denison.