BOTH Bass Labor MHR Geoff Lyons and Prime Minister Kevin Rudd will suffer crushing defeats in Saturday's election, according to an exclusive poll conducted for The Examiner this week.
National pollsters ReachTEL found that Mr Lyons's first preference vote had dropped by 8.18 per cent since the last survey by The Examiner in July to just 26.6 per cent compared with 51.8 per cent for Bass Liberal candidate and his main opponent Andrew Nikolic.
At the same time voters' preference for Mr Rudd as the better prime minister fell dramatically from 50.6 per cent in July to 42.3 per, while Tony Abbott's vote as the preferred prime minister soared from 49.4 per cent in July to 57.7 per cent.
Those surveyed were asked who they thought would win the federal election regardless of their own voting intentions.
A staggering 78.9 per cent chose the Coalition with only 21.1 per cent favouring Labor.
The ReachTEL Bass poll surveyed 659 voters by phone on Tuesday night and was weighted to reflect the population, age and gender distribution for Bass as provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
It indicated that federal Labor's decision to throw out Julia Gillard as leader and bring back Mr Rudd on the presumption that he would bring home a better election result appears to have backfired.