The Greens have only themselves to blame for a collapse in their vote and a likely poor performance at Saturday's election.
In the 2010 federal election they were the half-way house for voters, who were fed up with the major parties federally, and a strife-torn State Labor government.
The Greens' state wide House of Representatives vote in 2010 averaged 16.8 per cent, including almost 21 per cent in Franklin. The high water mark was also achieved in the 2010 state election, but now the Greens are in state cabinet and have locked themselves into Labor's destiny. As well, Bob Brown has gone, leaving a huge void.
Inexplicably the Greens are chasing their hardcore constituency, who live in trees and continue to protest, even when peak conservation groups are at the negotiating table. These young brave hearts will vote Greens anyway, but for some crazy reason the Greens are circling the wagons and appealing directly to these extremists to shore up their core vote.
Recent opinion polls put the Greens vote at around 10 per cent or less. Their vote has collapsed. They are paying the price for getting too close to Labor, while remaining pig headed in the face of the forestry Intergovernmental Agreement, and peace talks.
At this election the Greens are in danger of losing their gatekeeper, keeping the bastards honest, appeal with voters, to other minor parties like the Katter and Palmer parties. If they had a different tack their vote could be up around 25 per cent, with many soft green voters returning to the fold.
Their national leader Christine Milne is no Bob Brown, but she is still a great leader for the conservation movement and a tough campaigner. Christine Milne was a North West house wife who hand wrote press releases on scrappy note paper and took on a pulp and paper giant and won at Wesley Vale. She paddled rubber dinghies in the Franklin River blockade and won other boat races at university beer drinking contests in her undergraduate years. She is a formidable public leader - simply getting bad advice.
Instead of circling the wagons the Greens should have been reaching out to eco-tourism proponents and not only owning but negotiating compromise in the forestry peace talks. They should be making Australians proud of our new reserved areas, not resentful.
Tasmania has a huge employment void, where almost 10,000 jobs have been lost since 2010. The Greens should not cop all the blame but they have not made any friends by failing to outline a plan to fill the vacuum. They've left that to the major parties to clean up, and by doing that they let slip a huge opportunity to spruik their alternative economic vision.
They should sit down with Wilderness Society director Vica Bailey and Greens Senator Peter Whish Wilson, and start a belated strategic rethink.
Perhaps they could start with an election post mortem next week.