But the level of undecided voters remains high, with three seats too close to call.

The Enterprise Marketing and Research Services survey points to the Liberals securing nine seats, Labor eight and the Greens five.

The poll, conducted last Tuesday and Wednesday, asked the voting intentions of 1000 people from across the state's five electorates.

While Bass will maintain its status quo with two Liberal, two Labor and one Greens MHA, the other electorates are set for a shake-up.

The poll shows:

•Former federal MP Michael Ferguson taking the place of retired Bass Liberal MHA Sue Napier, and school principal Brian Wightman as the frontrunner to replace retiring Bass Labor MHA Jim Cox, with incumbents Michelle O'Byrne (Labor), Peter Gutwein (Liberal) and Kim Booth (Greens) all returned.

•Big-spending Braddon Liberal candidate Adam Brooks challenging running mate Brett Whiteley for his seat, with Greens candidate Paul O'Halloran set to enter Parliament alongside the re-elected Jeremy Rockliff (Liberal) and Bryan Green (Labor).

•Lyons Labor incumbents David Llewellyn and Heather Butler battling for a second Labor seat behind veteran Michael Polley, with the Liberals picking up a second seat and Greens MHA Tim Morris returned.

•Scott Bacon, the son of former premier Jim Bacon, winning a seat in Denison while Graeme Sturges loses out and Lisa Singh and Premier David Bartlett fight for their political lives; the Greens' candidate Helen Burnet likely to gain a second seat alongside incumbent Cassy O'Connor; and Liberal candidate Matthew Groom replacing retired Denison Liberal MHA Michael Hodgman.

•Greens leader Nick McKim topping the poll in Franklin ahead of Opposition Leader Will Hodgman, with the Liberals gaining a second seat at Labor's expense; and Deputy Premier Lara Giddings trailing candidate David O'Byrne for a seat, while Labor's other sitting members, Ross Butler and Daniel Hulme, miss out.

READ MORE ELECTION COVERAGE,

EXCLUSIVE STATE ELECTION POLL: Pages 3-7