THE COUNT

Rechecked figures for Pembroke as at 3pm yesterday:

Honey Bacon: 2060 (10.33%)

Peter Cooper: 1494 (7.94%)

James Crotty: 1770 (8.88%)

Vanessa Goodwin: 7681 (38.52%)

Wendy Heatley: 2544 (12.76%)

Richard James: 2259 (11.33%)

John Peers: 1917 (9.61%)

Kit (Sharon) Soo: 216 (1.08%)

Professor Herr said yesterday it was almost mathematically impossible for Ms Goodwin to lose the seat previously held by Labor's Alison Ritchie, who resigned after being embroiled in a nepotism scandal.

Last night Ms Goodwin had secured 38.5 per cent of primary votes, followed by Greens candidate Wendy Heatley, who had 12.8 per cent.

But Ms Goodwin was reluctant to celebrate, saying she would wait for the final result before getting too excited.

Labor did not endorse a candidate but Hobart-based lawyer James Crotty ran as an independent Labor candidate and the widow of former Premier Jim Bacon, Honey Bacon, contested the seat as an independent.

Between them they have drawn more than 19 per cent of the primary vote - just under half of that secured by Ms Goodwin.

It is this that should be a point of concern for the Government, Professor Herr said.

"You've seen a significant reduction in people who voted for Labor in Pembroke in 2007 who didn't identify enough with the Labor-leaning candidates to support them in this election," Professor Herr said.

"The fact that it (the Labor vote) melted away so completely must be a source of concern for the Labor Party.

"I think along with the Derwent election last May - where you had virtually a three-way head-to-head and the booths in Denison and Franklin showed a strong drift away from Labor - I think this is simply reconfirming that that drift is on."